Notes

Notes on Economics

163 notes

Sep 2026

Onward compute.

Patrick Collison@patrickc

Some data we recently assembled on entrepreneurship/compute in Europe: eudata.vercel.app.

We hope that one of the useful roles that Stripe can play is in collecting and publishing empirical data pertaining to entrepreneurship and industry in Europe. There's growing appetite to get Europe on a better footing, and cross-sectional comparisons can often shine light on where opportunities lie. If you're interested in this kind of thing, we publish more at stripeeconomics.substack.com.

Dot chart of how founders rate dealing with government, from Switzerland 8.2 and the US 7.6 down to Spain 3.3
Bar chart of founders who would incorporate in the same country again, led by the US at 85% and Spain lowest at 25%
Line chart of monthly payment volume of AI businesses on Stripe, with the US soaring from 2023 to 2026 while the EU stays flat
Bar chart of data centre capacity by country in gigawatts with the US above 100 including pipeline additions

Aug 2026

Regardless of what you think of Trump or his policies, Trump Accounts are a huge win.

Give everyone a stake in the future of American business. It's still the best machine in the world for innovation.

Thread · 2 posts

I'm trying to extrapolate this to the real world—what does a scarcity inversion look like? What is the investment thesis?

Energy and compute seem like the key resources that will drive everything else. Land, collectables, travel and unique experiences—seem like they'll only become more valuable?

Mar 2020

I am concerned that we're at the beginning of this crisis and the Fed has exhausted its conventional tools. Are we moving to negative interest rates? Direct purchase of equities?

Feb 2020

I'm skeptical that this T-Mobile, Sprint merger is going to be good for consumers.

Jan 2020

Thread · 2 posts

Some pretty amazing lines in this essay. “The innovators (lords) capture the majority of the gains, and the 99% (serfs) get an awesome phone, a $4,000 TV, great original scripted television, and Mandalorian action figures delivered within 24 hours.” profgalloway.com

Oct 2019

Aug 2019

I'm not sure I agree with UBI as a solution, but I think you're absolutely right about the problems. Look forward to seeing you in more debates.

Andrew Yang🧢⬆️🇺🇸@AndrewYang

I don’t expect people to agree with me on everything- that would be odd. My main hope is that people trust that I’m trying to solve problems and I’m open to different approaches - particularly if the data drives in a particular direction. Changing one’s mind is not a bad thing.

May 2019

“The purpose of quadratic voting is to determine whether the intense preferences of the minority outweigh the weak preferences of the majority...” bloomberg.com

Jan 2019

An interesting thread about missed career expectations.

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

1/Alright, so folks wanted me to expand on this idea, so here we go. Elite disaffection and the return of the American Left.

As you may have noticed, we're seeing an upsurge in young Americans who reject capitalism. Why? forbes.com

Nov 2018

To be fair, it's much better for consumers to have Walmart and Amazon battling it out. Without one the other would certainly become a monopoly.

Aug 2018

Thread · 2 posts

To say that "the failings of socialism is almost as deep as those capitalism" is incredibly disingenuous. While income I equality has gotten worse under capitalism, socialist policies killed nearly 100 million in the last century. theatlantic.com

Jun 2018

There are a ton of good points in this thread.

Ivan Kirigin@ikirigin

As much as I hate Trump, the socialist left is full of bad ideas.

Let me address a few of them:
- expanding medicare
- tuition free college
- huge jobs programs

These are all from Ocasio-Cortez recently, but not new ideas.

Three types of people who will benefit from the changing economy according to Cal Newport:

—Those who work well with machines
—Those who are the best at what they do
—Those with access to capital

Apr 2018

Feb 2018

“Had we kept 2000-levels of productivity and applied them to 2010-levels of production, we would have required 20.9 million manufacturing workers. Instead, we employed only 12.1 million.” slatestarcodex.com

Jan 2018

Dec 2017

Too much fiat chasing too few assets—that's at least one explanation for real estate and Bitcoin prices.

Fantastic observation on China's advantage in manufacturing.

In the West those who create financial instruments are often the most rewarded. In China is those who create businesses and products.

news.ycombinator.com

Oct 2017

This article on post-scarcity economic is spectacular. Every paragraph has an astute observation. buff.ly!

Atlanta notched second-highest boom rate among big-city economies—I'm still skeptical about Amazon coming here. buff.ly

Sep 2017

Aug 2017

Jul 2017

Apr 2017

How to prevent future business investments in your country—Venezuela officials seize General Motors plant nbcnews.com

Mar 2017

Feb 2017

In a time of great powers and empires, just one region of the world experienced extraordinary economic growth. How? aeon.co

Dec 2016

Nov 2016

I've talked a lot about a higher minimum wage accelerating the pace of automation. It just occurred to me—restrictive trade may do the same.

Oct 2016

Workers will simply try to survive, rather than prosper, as tech takes over the economy buff.ly

“...there can be no revival of American manufacturing, because there has been no collapse.” buff.ly

Sep 2016

Quite frankly, nothing is going to bring back jobs. Protectionism is not a solution. If not globalization, it will be automation.

I wonder how many people are actually against free trade vs being against the TPP?

I wonder how many people are anti-free-trade vs just being against the TPP?

Aug 2016

I understand the taxi industry is despearate, but a prive entity should not be taxed for the benefit of another. buff.ly

Jul 2016

Jun 2016

May 2016

It's cheaper to buy a $35,000 robotic arm than it is to hire an employee, making $15 an hour bagging French fries. bbc.com

Mar 2016

I always thought the agency business model was tough. These new overtime rules will make it a lot tougher. buff.ly

It seems like a good idea to let individuals sell power to the grid and compete with energy companies? one.npr.org

Feb 2016

Jan 2016

Taxing idle money vs taxing active money is an interesting idea. It won't reduce inequality. It might ensure money is better utilized.

Dec 2015

Aug 2015

May 2015

It certainly feels like Atlanta is a rocketship—Atlanta could add up to 100,000 jobs this year buff.ly

Apr 2015

Mar 2015

It's both spectacular and frightening how many jobs autonomous transportation would eliminate.

Feb 2015

Dec 2014

Oct 2014

Sure unemployment rates are falling, but I'm skeptical. How many want jobs, but have stopped looking?

Sep 2014

The bottom quarter of earners with a college degree don't make more money than the average high school graduate. fortune.com

60,000 Americans dropped out of the work force last month. Productivity is up.

Aug 2014

—As in more value would be gained by having a robot do a humans labor.

What happens when it no longer becomes economically viable to create new jobs?

The need for physical labor in the economy is gone and the need for mental labor is on its way out. youtube.com

May 2014

You can buy a nice apartment in Atlanta for the same price as renting one in SF for four years.

Apr 2014

It's ironic that in the pursuit of cheap robotic labor, capitalism will suffocate itself and pave the way for socialism.

Deregulation did not create the "Job" problem, technology and globalization did.

Mar 2014

Feb 2014

I'm all for spending on infrastructure. Remember 3/4 of bridges are structurally deficient or functionally obsolite. buff.ly

There is no natural, physical, economic or legal law which states that economic growth creates more jobs.

Jan 2014

While most cities offer shelter without jobs, San Francisco offers jobs without shelter

Dec 2013

Is bringing manufacturing back to the US going to change anything? Would people want those jobs?

Oct 2013

Aug 2013

Giant Robotic Mining Trucks Love the Australian Desert — Awesome, but terrible news for truck drivers. buff.ly

Except there is a trillion dollars in student debt with a good portion of that backed by the government.

Before 2007 nobody believed the value of their house would ever fall. The same thing is happening to college today.

Jul 2013

People that have never worked in food service don't understand much tips mean — Millennial Fired For Tweet theawl.com

It drives me nuts every time I read an article about "solutions" to the employment problem and entrepreneurship isn't on the list.

Jun 2013

Adding more college graduates does not stimulate economic growth - Dim Job Prospects for Chinese Grads buff.ly

The euro zone is now essentially an economic prison, with Germany as the jailer and the common currency as the bars. buff.ly

The $2.7 trillion medical bill, or how colonoscopies explain why U.S. leads the world in health expenditures. buff.ly

May 2013

It's outrageous for the government to call out corporations for legally avoiding taxes—it's called smart accounting.

More support that the last occupations will be artists and entrepreneurs — How free information will enslave us all.

Only 0.45% students owe more than $200,000 in loans, but with 11.3 million students that means there are 50,000 students in serious trouble.

"Kodak employed 140,000 people. Instagram, 13. A digital visionary says the Web kills jobs, wealth -- even democracy" salon.com

Mar 2013

Technology has decoupled capital growth from job growth. The economy will grow regardless of unemployment numbers.

Jan 2013

Jun 2012

The internet will eventually break business models based around artificial scarcity. See Newspapers, Cable, Movies.

Rifkin's chapter on distributed capitalism in #TIR is phenomenal - although I do disagree with some of his political opinions.

In 1891 US revenue totaled $385m, while Pennsylvania Railroads revenue totaled $185m.

Apr 2012

Mar 2012

Jan 2012

Nov 2011

Simple equation for economic recovery - More Entrepreneurs = Recovery.

Oct 2011

Freakonomics: Cost of College on the Rise (Again) - In-state tuition at public 4-year colleges up 8.3% from... tmblr.co

Interesting slideshow about #innovation after financial collapse. Love the prosperity, recession and golden ages slide. slideshare.net

Sep 2011

Great article by Peter Thiel about measuring the rate of innovation in the @NRO this week. #SwiftBlindHorseman

#askeconomist Is it possible that the failing job market marks the beginning of the #EntrepreneurialEnlightenment? @maxmarmer

Jul 2011

Let's start solving America's #export problem. What do countries like China and India need that #America can provide?

Jan 2011

Photo: Infographic of our nation by the numbers 2007 vs. 2010. Complements of The Atlantic. tumblr.com

Oct 2010